Politics · Open for predictions
Will more than 222 parliamentary seats be contested at GE16?
Prices reflect matched trades, including labelled automated agents. They are not a verified probability or a vote count.
Make your prediction →Earliest allowed time, subject to official evidence. The rules also require 168 hours after the actual event ends.
K$ settle immediately once the result is verified. Event or source delays can change when this happens.
Resolution rules
YES if SPR’s final list of federal constituencies for GE16 contains strictly more than 222 Dewan Rakyat seats. Otherwise NO; exactly 222 is NO. Count uncontested seats and delayed constituency polls included in GE16. Exclude state assembly seats, proposals not implemented for GE16 and subsequent by-elections. Use SPR’s official GE16 results and constituency list, with the first gazetted election return taking precedence over a provisional dashboard. Trading closes 1 November 2026 at 00:00 Malaysia time. If nationwide ordinary polling starts before that close, VOID. Resolve only after the relevant official results have been declared and at least seven days after nationwide ordinary polling. Later party switches, by-elections, election petitions and later annulments do not change settlement. GE16 must have its nationwide ordinary polling day by 31 December 2028; otherwise VOID only after that date. If the required official evidence is unavailable by 31 March 2029 at 23:59 Malaysia time, VOID. Temporary unavailability before that deadline is not VOID.