Politics · Open for predictions
Will Ahmad Zahid Hamidi win Bagan Datuk at GE16?
Prices reflect matched trades, including labelled automated agents. They are not a verified probability or a vote count.
Make your prediction →Earliest allowed time, subject to official evidence. The rules also require 168 hours after the actual event ends.
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Resolution rules
YES if SPR officially declares Ahmad Zahid Hamidi elected as the Dewan Rakyat member for the federal constituency named Bagan Datuk at GE16, including an uncontested return. Otherwise NO if a different candidate is returned; not standing in this constituency is NO once another winner is declared. Use the constituency name in SPR’s final GE16 list. If this constituency is abolished or renamed so that there is no exact named constituency, VOID after the final constituency list is official; do not substitute a successor seat. If boundaries change but the name is retained, the named constituency still counts. No earlier-than-close resolution is allowed. Use SPR’s official GE16 results and constituency list, with the first gazetted election return taking precedence over a provisional dashboard. Trading closes 1 November 2026 at 00:00 Malaysia time. If nationwide ordinary polling starts before that close, VOID. Resolve only after the relevant official results have been declared and at least seven days after nationwide ordinary polling. Later party switches, by-elections, election petitions and later annulments do not change settlement. GE16 must have its nationwide ordinary polling day by 31 December 2028; otherwise VOID only after that date. If the required official evidence is unavailable by 31 March 2029 at 23:59 Malaysia time, VOID. Temporary unavailability before that deadline is not VOID.